David Rothschild
David Rothschild
Microsoft Research
Verified email at researchdmr.com - Homepage
Title
Cited by
Cited by
Year
The science of fake news
DMJ Lazer, MA Baum, Y Benkler, AJ Berinsky, KM Greenhill, F Menczer, ...
Science 359 (6380), 1094-1096, 2018
11272018
Forecasting elections with non-representative polls
W Wang, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 980-991, 2015
2922015
Forecasting elections: Comparing prediction markets, polls, and their biases
D Rothschild
Public Opinion Quarterly 73 (5), 895-916, 2009
1222009
Lay understanding of probability distributions.
DG Goldstein, D Rothschild
Judgment & Decision Making 9 (1), 2014
892014
Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies?
D Rothschild, N Malhotra
Research & Politics 1 (2), 2053168014547667, 2014
692014
The mythical swing voter
A Gelman, S Goel, D Rivers, D Rothschild
Quarterly Journal of Political Science 11 (1), 103-130, 2016
682016
Online and social media data as an imperfect continuous panel survey
F Diaz, M Gamon, JM Hofman, E Kıcıman, D Rothschild
PloS one 11 (1), e0145406, 2016
682016
Forecasting elections: Voter intentions versus expectations
D Rothschild, J Wolfers
Available at SSRN 1884644, 2011
662011
Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely
D Rothschild
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 952-964, 2015
372015
Disentangling bias and variance in election polls
H Shirani-Mehr, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
Journal of the American Statistical Association 113 (522), 607-614, 2018
362018
Fundamental models for forecasting elections at the state level
P Hummel, D Rothschild
Electoral Studies 35, 123-139, 2014
33*2014
Trading strategies and market microstructure: Evidence from a prediction market
DM Rothschild, R Sethi
The Journal of Prediction Markets 10 (1), 1-29, 2016
322016
Non-representative surveys: Fast, cheap, and mostly accurate
S Goel, A Obeng, D Rothschild
Working Paper, 2015
302015
Don’t blame the election on fake news. Blame it on the media
DJ Watts, DM Rothschild
Columbia Journalism Review 5, 2017
262017
One person, one vote: Estimating the prevalence of double voting in US presidential elections
S Goel, M Meredith, M Morse, D Rothschild, H Shirani-Mehr
American Political Science Review 114 (2), 456-469, 2020
202020
Evaluating the fake news problem at the scale of the information ecosystem
J Allen, B Howland, M Mobius, D Rothschild, DJ Watts
Science Advances 6 (14), eaay3539, 2020
182020
High-frequency polling with non-representative data
A Gelman, S Goel, D Rothschild, W Wang
Political communication in real time: Theoretical and applied research …, 2017
132017
A combinatorial prediction market for the US elections
M Dudik, S Lahaie, DM Pennock, D Rothschild
Proceedings of the fourteenth ACM conference on Electronic commerce, 341-358, 2013
13*2013
Market manipulation muddies election outlook
D Rothschild, J Wolfers
Derived from, 2008
112008
Online and social media data as a flawed continuous panel survey
F Diaz, M Gamon, J Hofman, E Kiciman, D Rothschild
Working Paper http://research. microsoft. com/flawedsurvey, 2014
102014
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