Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences M Himmelstein, P Atanasov, DV Budescu Judgment and Decision Making 16 (2), 323-362, 2021 | 27 | 2021 |
Improving accuracy by coherence weighting of direct and ratio probability judgments Y Fan, DV Budescu, D Mandel, M Himmelstein Decision Analysis 16 (3), 197-217, 2019 | 25 | 2019 |
Sage: A hybrid geopolitical event forecasting system F Morstatter, A Galstyan, G Satyukov, D Benjamin, A Abeliuk, M Mirtaheri, ... Proceedings of the Twenty-Eighth International Joint Conference on …, 2019 | 25 | 2019 |
Preference for human or algorithmic forecasting advice does not predict if and how it is used M Himmelstein, DV Budescu Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 36 (1), e2285, 2023 | 19 | 2023 |
The wisdom of many in few: Finding individuals who are as wise as the crowd. M Himmelstein, DV Budescu, EH Ho Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 152 (5), 1223, 2023 | 13 | 2023 |
The wisdom of timely crowds M Himmelstein, DV Budescu, Y Han Judgment in predictive analytics, 215-242, 2023 | 11 | 2023 |
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events† DM Benjamin, F Morstatter, AE Abbas, A Abeliuk, P Atanasov, S Bennett, ... AI Magazine 44 (1), 112-128, 2023 | 10 | 2023 |
The impact of sleep on the relationship between soccer heading exposure and neuropsychological function in college-age soccer players CF Levitch, E McConathey, M Aghvinian, M Himmelstein, ML Lipton, ... Journal of the International Neuropsychological Society 26 (7), 633-644, 2020 | 9 | 2020 |
Talent spotting in crowd prediction P Atanasov, M Himmelstein Judgment in predictive analytics, 135-184, 2023 | 8 | 2023 |
Decline, adopt or compromise? A dual hurdle model for advice utilization M Himmelstein Journal of Mathematical Psychology 110, 102695, 2022 | 8 | 2022 |
Modeling Boundary Inflation in Advice Utilization M Himmelstein Multivariate Behavioral Research 57 (1), 161-162, 2022 | 1 | 2022 |
Measuring probabilistic coherence to identify superior forecasters EH Ho, DV Budescu, M Himmelstein International Journal of Forecasting, 2024 | | 2024 |
Measurement Reactivity in Advice Taking: Baseball Predictions M Himmelstein OSF, 2023 | | 2023 |
A Holistic Bayesian Approach to Addressing Measurement Reactivity with a Planned Missing Data Design M Himmelstein, D Budescu | | 2023 |
A Bayesian Approach for Using Planned Missingness to Address Measurement Reactivity M Himmelstein Multivariate Behavioral Research 58 (1), 133-134, 2023 | | 2023 |
Measuring Persuasion Without Measuring a Prior Belief: A New Application of Planned Missing Data Techniques M Himmelstein Fordham University, 2023 | | 2023 |
Psychological Implications of Accessing SITB-Related Online Content B Pastro Fordham University, 2023 | | 2023 |
Anxiety and the Framing Effect: Intolerance of Uncertainty Predicts Frame-Consistent Choice Patterns M Himmelstein Fordham University, 2018 | | 2018 |
Proxy Scores as a Real Time Forecaster Evaluation Tool M Himmelstein, D Budescu, E Ho | | |