| Skillful long‐range prediction of European and North American winters AA Scaife, A Arribas, E Blockley, A Brookshaw, RT Clark, N Dunstone, ... Geophysical Research Letters 41 (7), 2514-2519, 2014 | 753 | 2014 |
| Skilful predictions of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation one year ahead N Dunstone, D Smith, A Scaife, L Hermanson, R Eade, N Robinson, ... Nature Geoscience 9 (11), 809-814, 2016 | 343 | 2016 |
| Do seasonal‐to‐decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world? R Eade, D Smith, A Scaife, E Wallace, N Dunstone, L Hermanson, ... Geophysical research letters 41 (15), 5620-5628, 2014 | 313 | 2014 |
| Skilful multi-year predictions of Atlantic hurricane frequency DM Smith, R Eade, NJ Dunstone, D Fereday, JM Murphy, H Pohlmann, ... Nature geoscience 3 (12), 846-849, 2010 | 298 | 2010 |
| The decadal climate prediction project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6 GJ Boer, DM Smith, C Cassou, F Doblas-Reyes, G Danabasoglu, ... Geoscientific Model Development 9 (10), 3751-3777, 2016 | 292 | 2016 |
| North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply DM Smith, AA Scaife, R Eade, P Athanasiadis, A Bellucci, I Bethke, ... Nature 583 (7818), 796-800, 2020 | 204 | 2020 |
| Seasonal winter forecasts and the stratosphere AA Scaife, AY Karpechko, MP Baldwin, A Brookshaw, AH Butler, R Eade, ... Atmospheric Science Letters 17 (1), 51-56, 2016 | 202 | 2016 |
| A comparison of full-field and anomaly initialization for seasonal to decadal climate prediction DM Smith, R Eade, H Pohlmann Climate Dynamics 41, 3325-3338, 2013 | 182 | 2013 |
| Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown DM Smith, BBB Booth, NJ Dunstone, R Eade, L Hermanson, GS Jones, ... Nature Climate Change 6 (10), 936-940, 2016 | 178 | 2016 |
| Robust skill of decadal climate predictions DM Smith, R Eade, AA Scaife, LP Caron, G Danabasoglu, TM DelSole, ... npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 2 (1), 13, 2019 | 164 | 2019 |
| Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms NJ Dunstone, DM Smith, BBB Booth, L Hermanson, R Eade Nature Geoscience 6 (7), 534-539, 2013 | 147 | 2013 |
| Seasonal to decadal prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: Emerging capability and future prospects DM Smith, AA Scaife, R Eade, JR Knight Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142 (695), 611-617, 2016 | 133 | 2016 |
| Multi‐year predictability of the tropical Atlantic atmosphere driven by the high latitude North Atlantic Ocean NJ Dunstone, DM Smith, R Eade Geophysical Research Letters 38 (14), 2011 | 128 | 2011 |
| Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss DM Smith, R Eade, MB Andrews, H Ayres, A Clark, S Chripko, C Deser, ... Nature communications 13 (1), 727, 2022 | 100 | 2022 |
| An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability B Lu, HL Ren, AA Scaife, J Wu, N Dunstone, D Smith, J Wan, R Eade, ... Climate Dynamics 51, 89-100, 2018 | 100 | 2018 |
| Forecast cooling of the Atlantic subpolar gyre and associated impacts L Hermanson, R Eade, NH Robinson, NJ Dunstone, MB Andrews, ... Geophysical research letters 41 (14), 5167-5174, 2014 | 98 | 2014 |
| Skilful prediction of Sahel summer rainfall on inter-annual and multi-year timescales KL Sheen, DM Smith, NJ Dunstone, R Eade, DP Rowell, M Vellinga Nature communications 8 (1), 14966, 2017 | 94 | 2017 |
| Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models DM Smith, RP Allan, AC Coward, R Eade, P Hyder, C Liu, NG Loeb, ... Geophysical research letters 42 (4), 1205-1213, 2015 | 91 | 2015 |
| Preindustrial control simulations with HadGEM3‐GC3. 1 for CMIP6 MB Menary, T Kuhlbrodt, J Ridley, MB Andrews, OB Dimdore‐Miles, ... Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 10 (12), 3049-3075, 2018 | 89 | 2018 |
| A Bayesian framework for verification and recalibration of ensemble forecasts: How uncertain is NAO predictability? S Siegert, DB Stephenson, PG Sansom, AA Scaife, R Eade, A Arribas Journal of Climate 29 (3), 995-1012, 2016 | 78 | 2016 |
