| pROC: display and analyze ROC curves X Robin, N Turck, A Hainard, N Tiberti, F Lisacek, JC Sanchez, M Müller, ... R package version 1 (5), 2018 | 384* | 2018 |
| A Bayesian framework for verification and recalibration of ensemble forecasts: How uncertain is NAO predictability? S Siegert, DB Stephenson, PG Sansom, AA Scaife, R Eade, A Arribas Journal of Climate 29, 995–1012, 2016 | 78 | 2016 |
| Early epidemiological signatures of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: establishment of B. 1.617. 2 in England R Challen, L Dyson, CE Overton, LM Guzman-Rincon, EM Hill, HB Stage, ... MedRxiv, 2021.06. 05.21258365, 2021 | 64 | 2021 |
| Detecting improvements in forecast correlation skill: Statistical testing and power analysis S Siegert, O Bellprat, M Ménégoz, DB Stephenson, FJ Doblas-Reyes Monthly Weather Review 145 (2), 437-450, 2017 | 48 | 2017 |
| SpecsVerification: forecast verification routines for ensemble forecasts of weather and climate S Siegert, J Bhend, I Kroener, M De Felice R package version 0.5-2. URL: https://CRAN. R-project. org/package …, 2017 | 35 | 2017 |
| Simplifying and generalising Murphy's Brier score decomposition S Siegert Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143 (703), 1178-1183, 2017 | 29 | 2017 |
| Approximate Bayesian inference for analysis of spatiotemporal flood frequency data ÁV Jóhannesson, S Siegert, R Huser, H Bakka, B Hrafnkelsson The Annals of Applied Statistics 16 (2), 905-935, 2022 | 25 | 2022 |
| How to create an operational multi-model of seasonal forecasts? S Hemri, J Bhend, MA Liniger, R Manzanas, S Siegert, DB Stephenson, ... Climate dynamics 55, 1141-1157, 2020 | 22 | 2020 |
| Rank histograms of stratified Monte Carlo ensembles S Siegert, J Bröcker, H Kantz Monthly weather review 140 (5), 1558-1571, 2012 | 21 | 2012 |
| Uncertainty propagation in observational references to climate model scales O Bellprat, F Massonnet, S Siegert, C Prodhomme, D Macias-Gómez, ... Remote sensing of environment 203, 101-108, 2017 | 20 | 2017 |
| Max-and-smooth: A two-step approach for approximate Bayesian inference in latent Gaussian models B Hrafnkelsson, S Siegert, R Huser, H Bakka, ÁV Jóhannesson Bayesian Analysis 16 (2), 611-638, 2021 | 19 | 2021 |
| The ensemble‐adjusted ignorance score for forecasts issued as normal distributions S Siegert, CAT Ferro, DB Stephenson, M Leutbecher Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 145, 129-139, 2019 | 14 | 2019 |
| Variance estimation for Brier Score decomposition S Siegert Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 140 (682), 1771-1777, 2014 | 13 | 2014 |
| Parameter uncertainty in forecast recalibration S Siegert, PG Sansom, RM Williams Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142 (696), 1213-1221, 2016 | 12 | 2016 |
| pROC: display and analyze ROC curves, 2020 X Robin, N Turck, A Hainard, N Tiberti, F Lisacek, JC Sanchez, M Müller, ... URL https://CRAN. R-project. org/package= pROC. R package version 1 (2), 8, 2021 | 9 | 2021 |
| Predicting outliers in ensemble forecasts S Siegert, J Bröcker, H Kantz Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 137 (660), 1887-1897, 2011 | 9 | 2011 |
| Forecast recalibration and multimodel combination S Siegert, DB Stephenson Sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction, 321-336, 2019 | 8 | 2019 |
| SpecsVerification: Forecast verification routines for ensemble forecasts of weather and climate. R package version 0.5. 2 S Siegert URL: Https://cran. r-project. org/web/packages/SpecsVerification/index. html, 2017 | 7 | 2017 |
| Improved predictions of rare events using the Crooks fluctuation theorem J Gundermann, S Siegert, H Kantz Physical Review E 89 (3), 032112, 2014 | 5 | 2014 |
| Comments on “conditional exceedance probabilities” J Bröcker, S Siegert, H Kantz Monthly weather review 139 (10), 3322-3324, 2011 | 4 | 2011 |
